Heat vs. 76ers line, picks: Advanced computer NBA model releases selections for Game 3 matchup

Jaime E. Love


The Miami Heat visit the Philadelphia 76ers for Game 3 of the Eastern Conference Semifinals at 7 p.m. ET on Friday. Miami is favored by one point at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at 210.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). Joel Embiid (facial injury) has been upgraded from out to doubtful for this matchup, so his status is worth monitoring leading up to tip. 

Before making any Heat vs. 76ers picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters the third full week of the 2022 NBA playoffs on a stunning 86-58 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,100. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows the Heat are dominating in the playoffs. Miami is out-scoring its opponents by 13.2 points per 100 possessions across seven games. The Heat are playing great basketball on offense, including a 119.7 offensive rating in the series, and Miami is stingy on defense. The Heat are holding opponents to less than 1.04 points per possession in the playoffs, securing 76.2 percent of available defensive rebounds. Opponents are averaging only 18.3 assists and 15.3 turnovers per game against Miami in the postseason.

The model also knows the 76ers have impressive offensive numbers in the playoffs. Philadelphia is scoring more than 1.15 points per possession during the 2022 postseason, including 1.21 points per possession in home games. The 76ers are shooting 47.6 percent from the floor and 36.2 percent from 3-point range, with highly impressive free throw numbers. Philadelphia is averaging more than 24 free throw attempts per game and converting 85.6 percent of those shots. The 76ers are also quite good at protecting the ball, ranking in the top four of the NBA in turnover avoidance and live-ball turnover avoidance during the regular season.

Now, it has set its sights on Heat vs. 76ers. We can tell you the model is leaning over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

Who wins Heat vs. 76ers? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? … Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Heat vs. 76ers spread you should be all over Friday, all from the model on a roll on NBA picks!



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Written byRelated Posts:Pacers vs. 76ers line, picks: Advanced computer NBA model releases selections for Saturday matchup Hannah Riley, Contributing Writer Hannah Riley Contributing Writer Hannah Riley is a writer based in Seattle, WA. A former staff writer for Texts From Last Night, Pleated Jeans, and Ruin My Week, and a […]